Biggest Life Insurance Mistakes

Is it Time again for Tax-Free Bonds?

Over the past few years, municipal bonds may have fallen out of favor due to the fact that, until recently, the returns in the stock and bond markets were generating steady returns.

Financial Markets Update

Research Affiliates recently updated their 10-year expected risk and return for various asset classes as of 9/30/2015.  For their overview, see

Video - Market Commentary 8/14/2015


I published a video commentary on YouTube.  The link is here:

Let me know if you have any questions or comments.

Bob Kahl 

Updates on Gold and Silver


There continues to be a divergence between the physical gold and silver markets and the futures markets.  Below are some recent articles.

GDPNow Forecast by Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta publishes its “GDPNow” forecasting model to provide a “nowcast” of the official estimate prior to its release.  Its forecast tends to be a leading indicator of the direction of the consensus of economists’ forecasts.  As of May 5, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow forecast is at 0.8%, while the Blue Chip consensus forecast

Research Affiliates - 10-Year Expected Risk and Return for Various Asset Classes

Research Affiliates has updated their real 10-year expected risk and return estimates for Q1-2015.  They suggest that we are in a low expectation environment with the exception of emerging markets.  Their overview page is here:

Total Debt/GDP Ratios of Countries

The following article ranks the debt-to-GDP of 47 countries and shows the percentage increases from the government, corporate and household sectors during the period 2007-2014.

Valuation Levels and 10 Year Forecasts of Expected Risk and Return

Research Affiliates updated their website recently with their 10 year forecasts of expected risk and return for various asset classes.

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